TOP KEEPERS according to PECOTA.

Top keepers according to Upside:

Last First Team Lg Age Pos PA AB R
Pujols Albert SLN NL 27 1B 666 560 129
Mauer Joe MIN AL 24 C 623 539 107

The two best franchise players in the game.

Wright David NYN NL 24 3B 635 549 108
Cabrera Miguel FLO NL 24 3B 675 580 116

Upside likes Wright slightly better, which is a testament to how much it loves Wright. Wright's a streak hitter, and it looks like he can be a little more consistent at the plate. I'd still take Cabrera over him.

McCann Brian ATL NL 23 C 533 475 76
Zimmerman Ryan WAS NL 22 3B 655 590 95

McCann's year was over his head, but there are no fantasy catchers out there, and he's a competitive advantage. With that said, he's no Mauer.

Kendrick Howie LAA AL 23 2B 554 518 77
Gordon Alex KCA AL 23 3B 618 541 93
Sizemore Grady CLE AL 24 CF 679 597 104

Three more very young players with their best baseball ahead of them. Kendrick is not getting the props he deserves. He's a once in a generation average hitter.

Cano RobinsonNYA AL 24 2B 573 533 76
Tejada Miguel BAL AL 31 SS 657 604 91
Ramirez Hanley FLO NL 23 SS 642 577 101

The system clearly loves shortstops who can rake. Nobody hit for average like Cano has and not been awesome. I think the system overrates him--he won't hit .340 again, and he would never have hit in the first place if it wasn't for the Yanks' insane lineup.

Guillen Carlos DET AL 31 SS 566 503 90
Peralta Jhonny CLE AL 25 SS 607 540 79
Beltran Carlos NYN NL 30 CF 612 521 101
Hafner Travis CLE AL 30 DH 613 508 106
Howard Ryan PHI NL 27 1B 652 557 109
Jeter Derek NYA AL 33 SS 662 585 110
Reyes Jose NYN NL 24 SS 663 613 101

It's somewhat surprising that Reyes isn't higher, and looking at his physical tools, it's possible to imagine a 40-40 type of player, which would make him once of the top three keepers in baseball. He shouldn't go before Ortiz, A-Rod, and Pujols in your draft, though.

Martin Russell LAN NL 24 C 501 437 67
Bianchi Jeffrey KCA AL 20 SS 469 416 57
Guerrero Vladim LAA AL 31 RF 637 579 105
Longoria Evan TBA AL 21 3B 546 502 67

The system gets fooled by top prospects who have a brief minor league performance that rates as exceptional. Martin may be rated as a sleeper--he's a top catcher, and his performance could exceed McCann's in 2007. Guerrero I'm actually surprised is even this high--his body type and physicality don't bode well for him as he drifts into his thirties. He's a unique hitter who may not follow any established career path.

Longoria won't make the majors in 2007, but there's every reason for Jorge Cantu to be very, very afraid.

Young Chris ARI NL 23 CF 526 458 85
Berkman Lance HOU NL 31 1B 628 518 111
Rodriguez Alex NYA AL 31 3B 651 555 108
Teixeira Mark TEX AL 27 1B 684 594 107
Bay Jason PIT NL 28 LF 644 544 106
Martinez Victor CLE AL 28 C 593 520 76
Utley Chase PHI NL 28 2B 657 576 103

Everybody loves Chris Young, but rating his potential over Utley's is tough. They play a similar skill position and I'd rather have Utley's power. He was really tearing it up last year, and he's proven a durable player who doesn't miss games. He should go in the top 7 picks of any draft, keeper or no.

Victor Martinez is a catcher who can rake, but his comparables bode too well. He's not on Mauer's level. Bay and Teixiera and A-Rod you knew about.

Pedroia Dustin BOS AL 23 2B 554 491 71
Casilla Alexi MIN AL 22 SS 613 554 94
Young Michael TEX AL 30 SS 664 604 95
Fielder Prince MIL NL 23 1B 575 501 87

More insane prospect crushes, but finds Pedroia to be an accomplished regular. PECOTA also loves Prince